Atmospheric Dynamics (Prof. Craig)
The uncertainty of forecasts
The Atmospheric Dynamics group focuses its research on an improvement of our understanding weather and climate predictions' uncertainties. Goal is a physics-based, quantitative probabilistic description of current and future atmospheric states. To this end, numerical experiments with meteorological models and theoretical methods from statistical physics are applied.
The working group is part of the Chair of Theoretical Meteorology (Prof. Craig).
Predictability / Ensemble-Prediction
How do forecast errors grow and how can one quantify this uncertainty?
Stochastic Parameterizations
We investigate how stochastic representations of physical processes can improve forecast quality.
Forecast Verification
We develop methods to quantify errors in high-resolution numerical weather forecasts.
